Estimates

Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 70.15
Price - 52 Week High: 82.44
Price - 52 Week Low: 60.65
Price Date (Latest): 1/18/19
Median Price Target: 77.75
Diff from Prev Close: 7.60
% Difference: 10.83

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.06

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.40
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: 0.71
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 8.82
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 18.60
Yield (%): 1.01

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 3.85 4.15 3.51 3.85 11 -- 5 -1.67
Annual 12/1/19 3.35 3.56 3.18 3.35 17 1 6 -0.68
Annual 12/1/18 2.89 2.90 2.87 2.88 17 -- 1 --
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.88 0.89 0.86 0.88 16 -- 2 --
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.61 0.69 0.56 0.62 10 1 2 -1.52
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.84 0.91 0.78 0.84 10 -- 4 -1.01
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.89 0.96 0.84 0.88 10 -- 2 -0.98
Long Term Growth 18.91 18.91 18.91 18.91 1 -- 1 --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 2.40 2.40 0.12
Annual 12/1/16 2.03 2.03 0.21
Annual 12/1/15 1.85 1.85 0.10
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.77 0.77 0.11
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.73 0.71 3.34
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.51 0.51 -0.90
Quarterly 12/1/17 0.76 0.76 -0.17

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 15.38 15.77 15.00 15.38 2 -- 1 --
Annual 12/1/19 15.11 15.21 15.00 15.11 2 -- 1 --
Annual 12/1/18 14.84 15.00 14.68 14.84 2 -- -- 0.64

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 4.89 5.71 3.97 4.99 3 -- 2 0.31
Annual 12/1/19 4.35 4.86 3.55 4.65 3 1 2 -1.45
Annual 12/1/18 3.86 4.22 3.19 4.18 3 -- 1 --
Quarterly 12/1/18 1.63 2.04 1.21 1.63 2 -- -- 11.80
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.89 1.02 0.76 0.89 2 1 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 2 -- 1 --
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.25 1.28 1.22 1.25 2 -- 1 --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.03 1.27 -18.99

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 0.72
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 1.07 1.21 0.84 1.10 6 -- 2 -0.78
Annual 12/1/19 0.95 1.01 0.84 0.95 8 1 1 0.40
Annual 12/1/18 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84 8 1 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 0.72 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 0.62 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 0.56 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.21 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.21 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.21 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 0.18 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 630.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 937.44 963.90 900.00 943.20 9 1 5 -1.03
Annual 12/1/19 820.82 852.40 789.20 823.23 14 1 6 -0.62
Annual 12/1/18 716.62 744.00 658.90 722.00 15 -- 4 0.24
Quarterly 12/1/18 215.60 219.62 198.90 217.65 12 -- 2 -0.04
Quarterly 3/1/19 154.03 162.00 147.00 153.00 6 1 1 -0.90
Quarterly 6/1/19 204.13 216.00 193.60 204.95 6 -- 2 -0.05
Quarterly 9/1/19 213.25 222.00 208.80 212.30 6 -- 2 -0.46

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 630.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 511.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 470.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 188.00 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 182.00 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 135.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 194.00 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 864.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 1,202.01 1,250.86 1,088.00 1,205.00 9 -- 5 -2.08
Annual 12/1/19 1,085.61 1,122.13 1,013.00 1,095.70 14 1 6 -1.16
Annual 12/1/18 965.28 990.00 920.00 980.30 8 -- 1 --
Quarterly 12/1/18 283.25 291.00 278.64 281.63 9 -- 2 -0.00
Quarterly 3/1/19 222.49 230.00 215.24 221.00 5 -- 2 -0.29
Quarterly 6/1/19 275.49 282.10 269.40 276.27 5 -- 3 -0.16
Quarterly 9/1/19 281.86 287.02 275.70 284.00 5 -- 3 -0.17

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 864.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 662.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 603.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 251.00 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 247.00 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 202.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 254.00 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 1.83
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 3.68 4.15 3.17 3.74 6 -- 3 -5.10
Annual 12/1/19 3.22 3.45 2.88 3.28 11 1 5 -0.48
Annual 12/1/18 2.65 2.88 2.57 2.62 11 1 2 0.72
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.83 0.88 0.78 0.84 9 -- 3 --
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.56 0.59 0.52 0.57 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.79 0.84 0.74 0.80 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.83 0.87 0.78 0.83 5 -- -- --

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 1.83 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 1.45 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 1.87 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.72 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.64 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.43 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 0.39 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 1,786.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 1,381.26 2,022.00 772.00 1,365.51 4 2 1 0.09
Annual 12/1/19 1,538.44 1,983.00 1,261.00 1,401.55 6 2 1 0.53
Annual 12/1/18 1,805.80 1,928.14 1,555.93 1,824.00 7 1 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 1,818.88 1,846.00 1,795.00 1,817.25 4 1 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 1,852.20 1,852.20 1,852.20 1,852.20 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 1,812.00 1,812.00 1,812.00 1,812.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 1,722.80 1,722.80 1,722.80 1,722.80 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 1,786.00 1,796.47 -0.58
Annual 12/1/16 2,060.00 1,389.48 48.26
Annual 12/1/15 594.00 506.74 17.22

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 433.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 694.37 716.00 658.00 700.00 9 -- 5 -1.02
Annual 12/1/19 604.40 621.90 574.00 606.50 14 1 6 -0.46
Annual 12/1/18 522.17 524.38 519.00 522.85 14 -- 5 -0.07
Quarterly 12/1/18 159.41 162.00 155.30 159.90 11 -- 3 -0.12
Quarterly 3/1/19 110.37 120.70 102.60 110.45 6 1 1 -1.32
Quarterly 6/1/19 150.37 157.00 143.70 151.00 6 -- 2 -0.16
Quarterly 9/1/19 157.70 165.50 150.80 157.45 6 -- 2 -0.52

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 433.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 364.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 336.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 139.00 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 131.00 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 93.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 137.00 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 869.80 869.80 869.80 869.80 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 768.40 768.40 768.40 768.40 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 675.10 675.10 675.10 675.10 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 210.10 210.10 210.10 210.10 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 140.10 140.10 140.10 140.10 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 191.00 191.00 191.00 191.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 205.00 205.00 205.00 205.00 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 18.45
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 26.70 27.80 25.60 26.70 2 -- 1 --
Annual 12/1/19 21.83 22.90 20.20 22.39 3 1 1 4.58
Annual 12/1/18 19.94 20.14 19.50 20.05 4 1 -- --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 18.45 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 17.03 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 15.96 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 4,707.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 5,695.84 5,819.06 5,628.00 5,667.95 11 -- 5 -0.27
Annual 12/1/19 5,435.00 5,526.72 5,367.53 5,434.05 18 1 6 -0.35
Annual 12/1/18 5,187.80 5,218.00 5,162.00 5,189.50 18 -- 4 -0.00
Quarterly 12/1/18 1,365.66 1,387.90 1,341.00 1,368.00 17 1 3 -0.05
Quarterly 3/1/19 1,266.37 1,290.00 1,239.13 1,269.80 11 -- 1 -0.10
Quarterly 6/1/19 1,370.64 1,396.00 1,347.00 1,366.30 11 -- 2 -0.06
Quarterly 9/1/19 1,360.75 1,415.00 1,329.00 1,355.00 11 -- 2 -0.27

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 4,707.00 4,702.92 0.09
Annual 12/1/16 3,771.00 3,798.02 -0.71
Annual 12/1/15 3,653.00 3,655.89 -0.08
Quarterly 9/1/18 1,287.00 1,298.12 -0.86
Quarterly 6/1/18 1,317.00 1,284.53 2.53
Quarterly 3/1/18 1,217.00 1,190.78 2.20
Quarterly 12/1/17 1,277.00 1,267.44 0.75

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Net Income (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Sales (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Sales (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

P/E Ratios

P/E Ratios Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY0 20.93 18.69 1.12
FY1 18.21 17.02 1.07
FY2 15.45 15.84 0.98

EPS Growth Rates

Growth Rates Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY1/FY0 16.19 30.32 0.89
FY2/FY1 14.93 21.44 0.95
FY3/FY2 14.93 21.44 0.95