Estimates

Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 81.34
Price - 52 Week High: 81.92
Price - 52 Week Low: 62.24
Price Date (Latest): 9/19/18
Median Price Target: 84.36
Diff from Prev Close: 3.02
% Difference: 3.71

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.07

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.40
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: 0.71
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 8.51
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 18.44
Yield (%): 0.87

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 4.00 4.20 3.84 4.01 6 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 3.42 3.56 3.28 3.41 16 2 -- 0.46
Annual 12/1/18 2.91 2.95 2.86 2.92 16 1 -- 0.11
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.78 0.80 0.75 0.78 15 1 -- 0.43
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.90 0.93 0.86 0.90 15 2 -- 0.37
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.64 0.69 0.57 0.63 8 -- 1 -0.20
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.85 0.95 0.79 0.85 8 1 -- 0.29
Long Term Growth 12.90 12.90 12.90 12.90 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 2.40 2.40 0.12
Annual 12/1/16 2.03 2.03 0.21
Annual 12/1/15 1.85 1.85 0.10
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.73 0.71 3.34
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.51 0.51 -0.90
Quarterly 12/1/17 0.76 0.76 -0.17
Quarterly 9/1/17 0.65 0.64 2.30

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 12.55 12.55 12.55 12.55 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 4.85 4.85 4.85 4.85 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 4.21 4.21 4.21 4.21 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 1.21 1.21 1.21 1.21 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 1.02 1.02 1.02 1.02 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 1.19 1.19 1.19 1.19 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 0.72
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 1.02 1.21 0.84 1.02 3 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 0.93 1.00 0.84 0.92 6 2 -- 0.18
Annual 12/1/18 0.84 0.84 0.83 0.84 6 1 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 4 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 0.72 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 0.62 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 0.56 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.21 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.21 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 0.18 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 0.18 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 630.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 974.79 997.70 944.26 978.00 5 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 841.70 871.10 789.20 848.00 14 1 -- -0.32
Annual 12/1/18 721.74 742.00 661.80 731.77 14 -- 1 -1.10
Quarterly 9/1/18 191.84 202.00 179.00 192.15 12 -- 1 -1.03
Quarterly 12/1/18 219.67 226.40 198.90 220.98 12 -- -- -1.16
Quarterly 3/1/19 157.18 164.00 147.50 157.00 5 -- -- -0.42
Quarterly 6/1/19 204.54 215.00 193.60 204.10 5 -- -- -2.52

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 630.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 511.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 470.00 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 182.00 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 135.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 194.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 169.00 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 864.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 1,244.02 1,283.00 1,201.71 1,241.00 5 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 1,111.76 1,153.00 1,058.00 1,124.80 11 1 -- -0.02
Annual 12/1/18 981.89 1,031.00 925.00 990.40 8 1 -- -0.46
Quarterly 9/1/18 262.33 269.00 252.10 265.30 6 1 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 290.39 296.00 285.20 289.56 6 1 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 228.70 228.70 228.70 228.70 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 281.00 281.00 281.00 281.00 1 1 -- 2.81

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 864.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 662.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 603.00 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 247.00 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 202.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 254.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 227.00 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 1.83
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 4.02 4.02 4.02 4.02 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 3.27 3.38 3.07 3.32 8 2 -- 0.96
Annual 12/1/18 2.65 2.74 2.54 2.68 8 -- 1 --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.74 0.79 0.68 0.74 7 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.85 0.89 0.78 0.87 7 1 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.59 0.60 0.57 0.59 3 -- 1 -0.57
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.79 0.82 0.75 0.79 3 1 -- 0.85

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 1.83 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 1.45 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 1.87 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.64 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.43 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 0.39 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 0.58 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 1,786.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 1,265.00 1,265.00 1,265.00 1,265.00 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 1,322.33 1,365.00 1,278.00 1,324.00 3 1 2 --
Annual 12/1/18 1,785.66 1,858.00 1,723.63 1,780.50 4 2 2 --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 1,786.00 1,796.47 -0.58
Annual 12/1/16 2,060.00 1,389.48 48.26
Annual 12/1/15 594.00 506.74 17.22

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 433.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 724.28 734.80 710.32 726.00 4 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 616.07 628.00 597.70 616.20 12 1 -- 0.10
Annual 12/1/18 526.37 535.00 519.00 526.90 11 1 -- -0.10
Quarterly 9/1/18 139.72 142.80 136.00 139.75 10 -- 1 -0.44
Quarterly 12/1/18 162.51 169.00 155.30 163.50 10 1 -- -0.75
Quarterly 3/1/19 112.40 120.70 104.30 113.00 5 -- -- 1.16
Quarterly 6/1/19 150.52 155.00 143.00 151.50 5 -- -- -1.45

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 433.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 364.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 336.00 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 131.00 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 93.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 137.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 119.00 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 874.00 874.00 874.00 874.00 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 788.00 788.00 788.00 788.00 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 706.00 706.00 706.00 706.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 187.00 187.00 187.00 187.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 214.00 214.00 214.00 214.00 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 18.45
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 21.50 21.50 21.50 21.50 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 17.00 17.00 17.00 17.00 1 1 -- --
Annual 12/1/18 18.45 20.20 16.70 18.45 2 2 -- --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 18.45 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 17.03 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 15.96 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 4,707.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 5,794.81 5,911.85 5,596.00 5,812.00 6 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 5,497.42 5,614.87 5,359.00 5,493.35 16 2 -- 0.06
Annual 12/1/18 5,212.50 5,280.00 5,133.00 5,214.00 16 1 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 1,299.92 1,325.00 1,258.00 1,301.00 15 -- 1 0.05
Quarterly 12/1/18 1,374.92 1,405.00 1,341.00 1,376.00 15 -- 1 0.15
Quarterly 3/1/19 1,270.29 1,288.94 1,244.00 1,270.50 8 -- -- -0.05
Quarterly 6/1/19 1,371.98 1,407.08 1,347.00 1,370.00 8 -- -- -0.02

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 4,707.00 4,702.92 0.09
Annual 12/1/16 3,771.00 3,798.02 -0.71
Annual 12/1/15 3,653.00 3,655.89 -0.08
Quarterly 6/1/18 1,317.00 1,284.53 2.53
Quarterly 3/1/18 1,217.00 1,190.78 2.20
Quarterly 12/1/17 1,277.00 1,267.44 0.75
Quarterly 9/1/17 1,195.00 1,179.66 1.30

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Net Income (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Sales (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Sales (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

P/E Ratios

P/E Ratios Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY0 27.94 27.32 1.02
FY1 23.78 32.11 0.74
FY2 20.34 17.76 1.15

EPS Growth Rates

Growth Rates Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY1/FY0 21.30 7.54 1.13
FY2/FY1 17.48 -7.77 1.27
FY3/FY2 17.48 -7.77 1.27