Estimates

Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 68.99
Price - 52 Week High: 82.44
Price - 52 Week Low: 63.72
Price Date (Latest): 11/13/18
Median Price Target: 79.31
Diff from Prev Close: 10.32
% Difference: 14.96

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.18

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.40
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: 0.71
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 8.82
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 18.60
Yield (%): 1.02

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 3.93 4.15 3.70 3.95 9 -- 4 -0.55
Annual 12/1/19 3.39 3.56 3.20 3.40 17 2 9 -0.64
Annual 12/1/18 2.89 2.90 2.87 2.88 17 1 13 -0.79
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.88 0.90 0.86 0.88 16 -- 11 -2.01
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.63 0.69 0.56 0.63 9 2 2 -0.87
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.85 0.91 0.78 0.84 9 1 4 0.22
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.90 0.96 0.84 0.90 9 1 2 -0.21
Long Term Growth 19.03 19.03 19.03 19.03 1 -- -- -2.95

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 2.40 2.40 0.12
Annual 12/1/16 2.03 2.03 0.21
Annual 12/1/15 1.85 1.85 0.10
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.77 0.77 0.11
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.73 0.71 3.34
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.51 0.51 -0.90
Quarterly 12/1/17 0.76 0.76 -0.17

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 15.40 15.79 15.00 15.40 2 -- -- -2.62
Annual 12/1/19 15.11 15.23 15.00 15.11 2 -- -- -0.99
Annual 12/1/18 14.84 15.00 14.68 14.84 2 -- -- 0.64

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 4.88 5.72 4.04 4.88 2 -- -- 19.30
Annual 12/1/19 4.43 4.89 3.54 4.85 3 -- -- 7.58
Annual 12/1/18 3.90 4.22 3.29 4.18 3 1 -- 7.49
Quarterly 12/1/18 1.63 2.04 1.21 1.63 2 -- -- 11.80
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.89 1.02 0.75 0.89 2 -- -- 1.24
Quarterly 6/1/19 1.20 1.21 1.20 1.20 2 1 -- 1.00
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.25 1.28 1.22 1.25 2 1 -- 0.76

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.03 1.27 -18.99

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 0.72
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 1.08 1.21 0.84 1.12 5 -- -- 3.06
Annual 12/1/19 0.94 1.02 0.84 0.94 8 -- -- 1.19
Annual 12/1/18 0.84 0.84 0.83 0.84 8 -- -- 0.02
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 4 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 0.72 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 0.62 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 0.56 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.21 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.21 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.21 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 0.18 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 630.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 954.26 979.00 910.00 964.63 8 -- 4 -1.06
Annual 12/1/19 830.52 861.00 789.20 837.94 14 1 9 -1.09
Annual 12/1/18 715.10 731.64 658.90 722.50 13 -- 12 -1.05
Quarterly 12/1/18 216.02 220.40 198.90 217.80 11 1 8 -1.49
Quarterly 3/1/19 155.88 164.00 147.50 155.40 5 -- -- -0.29
Quarterly 6/1/19 204.72 216.00 193.60 204.10 5 1 1 0.38
Quarterly 9/1/19 214.70 222.00 210.50 214.10 5 -- 2 -2.58

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 630.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 511.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 470.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 188.00 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 182.00 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 135.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 194.00 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 864.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 1,234.70 1,283.00 1,179.00 1,235.45 8 2 1 0.09
Annual 12/1/19 1,101.52 1,142.00 1,058.00 1,104.81 14 3 6 -0.74
Annual 12/1/18 967.46 990.00 920.00 980.50 7 -- 5 -0.84
Quarterly 12/1/18 284.85 294.30 278.64 281.63 9 1 5 -1.84
Quarterly 3/1/19 223.81 230.00 216.36 224.45 4 1 -- -0.78
Quarterly 6/1/19 276.50 282.10 272.00 275.95 4 1 -- 0.14
Quarterly 9/1/19 282.91 288.43 278.30 282.45 4 -- 1 -3.00

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 864.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 662.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 603.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 251.00 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 247.00 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 202.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 254.00 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 1.83
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 3.87 4.15 3.46 3.86 5 -- -- 3.30
Annual 12/1/19 3.24 3.45 2.96 3.28 11 2 5 -0.04
Annual 12/1/18 2.63 2.74 2.57 2.62 11 3 4 -0.72
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.84 0.88 0.78 0.84 9 1 4 -1.19
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.57 0.59 0.52 0.58 4 -- 1 -0.88
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.79 0.84 0.74 0.79 4 1 -- 1.59
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.83 0.87 0.78 0.84 4 -- 1 -2.40

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 1.83 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 1.45 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 1.87 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.72 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.64 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.43 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 0.39 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 1,786.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 1,379.16 2,022.00 840.00 1,327.32 4 -- -- 26.77
Annual 12/1/19 1,529.83 1,983.00 1,261.00 1,374.50 6 1 2 11.17
Annual 12/1/18 1,803.15 1,928.14 1,555.93 1,824.00 7 1 3 0.29
Quarterly 12/1/18 1,814.25 1,846.00 1,792.00 1,809.50 4 -- -- -1.81

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 1,786.00 1,796.47 -0.58
Annual 12/1/16 2,060.00 1,389.48 48.26
Annual 12/1/15 594.00 506.74 17.22

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 433.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 703.52 724.00 665.20 704.28 8 -- 3 -1.27
Annual 12/1/19 609.08 621.50 578.50 610.50 14 1 7 -0.70
Annual 12/1/18 522.68 525.00 519.00 523.00 13 1 9 -0.60
Quarterly 12/1/18 159.73 162.00 155.30 159.95 10 -- 8 -1.51
Quarterly 3/1/19 112.22 120.70 102.60 115.00 5 2 1 0.78
Quarterly 6/1/19 151.00 157.00 145.50 151.50 5 1 2 1.06
Quarterly 9/1/19 158.92 165.50 151.20 159.00 5 -- 3 -2.10

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 433.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 364.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 336.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 139.00 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 131.00 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 93.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 137.00 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 869.80 869.80 869.80 869.80 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 768.40 768.40 768.40 768.40 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 675.10 675.10 675.10 675.10 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 210.10 210.10 210.10 210.10 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 140.10 140.10 140.10 140.10 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 191.00 191.00 191.00 191.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 205.00 205.00 205.00 205.00 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 18.45
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 26.73 27.80 25.65 26.73 2 -- -- 2.49
Annual 12/1/19 20.88 22.90 17.20 22.53 3 1 -- 4.67
Annual 12/1/18 19.26 20.14 16.80 20.05 4 1 -- 1.13

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 18.45 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 17.03 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 15.96 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 4,707.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 5,741.76 5,875.00 5,628.00 5,727.60 9 1 3 -0.72
Annual 12/1/19 5,471.48 5,608.00 5,382.58 5,454.50 18 4 7 -0.42
Annual 12/1/18 5,188.55 5,218.00 5,162.00 5,188.05 16 1 13 -0.42
Quarterly 12/1/18 1,365.93 1,387.90 1,341.00 1,367.05 16 3 9 -0.57
Quarterly 3/1/19 1,267.95 1,290.00 1,242.57 1,269.90 10 2 1 -0.22
Quarterly 6/1/19 1,371.85 1,396.00 1,347.00 1,369.50 10 3 1 0.01
Quarterly 9/1/19 1,364.84 1,415.00 1,344.00 1,359.50 10 2 3 -0.48

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 4,707.00 4,702.92 0.09
Annual 12/1/16 3,771.00 3,798.02 -0.71
Annual 12/1/15 3,653.00 3,655.89 -0.08
Quarterly 9/1/18 1,287.00 1,298.12 -0.86
Quarterly 6/1/18 1,317.00 1,284.53 2.53
Quarterly 3/1/18 1,217.00 1,190.78 2.20
Quarterly 12/1/17 1,277.00 1,267.44 0.75

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Net Income (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Sales (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Sales (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

P/E Ratios

P/E Ratios Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY0 23.90 27.76 0.86
FY1 20.37 19.67 1.04
FY2 17.54 17.29 1.01

EPS Growth Rates

Growth Rates Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY1/FY0 20.27 7.24 1.12
FY2/FY1 17.33 -7.29 1.27
FY3/FY2 17.33 -7.29 1.27